by SoxIlliniRob Wed Apr 10, 2019 10:05 am
blondy28 wrote: SoxIlliniRob wrote:Same thoughts from me on Warren. If we nominate her, we might as well just lay out the red carpet for Trump. Hopefully, young gen realizes this. Warren has offered the most substantive campaign and platform but people aren't going to excitedly go out on election day to elect her. She is awkward and weird and will lose. Sanders, I believe, would have beaten Trump easily in 2016. I don't think that same thing for 2020. I don't need progressive purity. I need somebody that can defeat this orange, flaming bag of dogshit.
I don't think Sanders would have beaten Trump. I think Biden is our best shot in 2020, although Trump's act was new in 2016, and his behavior, I think, stunned the GOP rivals in the primaries...they didn't even know how to respond. You need look no further than Mnuchin and Candace Owens before congress yesterday, or Matt Whitaker a couple of months ago, or Kavanaugh at the Blasey-Ford hearing that they've taken "strong and wrong" to obscene levels. So while we have a better idea of what to expect, I still fear that Beto or Mayor Pete would be dears in the headlights during the debates.
The only reason I think Sanders would have won is that there was a huge contingent that would have come out to specifically vote FOR him, whereas with Hillary, there was a huge contingent that disliked Trump but went and voted for him in droves just to vote AGAINST Hillary. I have a lot of friends that voted for Trump, and many of them were centrists or lifelong Dems that were more than willing to vote Bernie in 2016, who liked Bernie, but for whatever reason hated Hillary. I don't know anyone (I'm sure some exist) that voted for Hillary but would have chosen Trump over Sanders.
For now, Biden is our best shot, but there's a lot out there that will still come up. He'll say some REALLY stupid shit during the campaign and much of that will be used against him. When I see him speaking, he looks worn and tired and done, as if he had to work up the energy just to do that. That will be played hard against him.
Not sure what to make of Beto going into a debate, but Pete is fucking smart, and it's hard for me to imagine him not being able to handle himself. We'll see, I guess, but he really understands branding, and is a careful speaker. Comes across as inherently a good person, except to those who are caught up calling him a sinner for being gay. I suspect that inherent goodness will come through a bit.