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    Political gameday thread

    SoxIlliniRob
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    • Post n°1

    Political gameday thread Empty Political gameday thread

    Post by SoxIlliniRob Tue Nov 06, 2018 9:01 pm

    Dems holding their own very nicely in the house races across the country.  Getting asses handed to them in senate races.

    Looks like excitement for Beto in Texas has helped the entire party hold up very well in terms of the many House races.  

    Looks like there may be a 55-45 senate majority for the Reds after this.  

    Seems like Dems will have a comfortable majority in the House.
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    SoxIlliniRob
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    • Post n°2

    Political gameday thread Empty Re: Political gameday thread

    Post by SoxIlliniRob Wed Nov 07, 2018 7:55 am

    Rohrabacher goes down! Thank goodness!
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    cream919
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    • Post n°3

    Political gameday thread Empty Re: Political gameday thread

    Post by cream919 Wed Nov 07, 2018 10:22 pm

    Results aren't terrible for democrats but nothing even close to a "blue wave". When are these fucking idiot political "experts" going to stop making these lame ass predictions and forecasts? They clearly don't know their ass from a hole in the ground and all they're doing is making fools of themselves.
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    sharpy
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    • Post n°4

    Political gameday thread Empty Re: Political gameday thread

    Post by sharpy Thu Nov 08, 2018 6:46 am

    cream919 wrote:Results aren't terrible for democrats but nothing even close to a "blue wave". When are these fucking idiot political "experts" going to stop making these lame ass predictions and forecasts? They clearly don't know their ass from a hole in the ground and all they're doing is making fools of themselves.


    I think they will the day after the sports guys, equally as bad, stop making their predictions
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    SoxIlliniRob
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    • Post n°5

    Political gameday thread Empty Re: Political gameday thread

    Post by SoxIlliniRob Thu Nov 08, 2018 7:12 am

    cream919 wrote:Results aren't terrible for democrats but nothing even close to a "blue wave". When are these fucking idiot political "experts" going to stop making these lame ass predictions and forecasts? They clearly don't know their ass from a hole in the ground and all they're doing is making fools of themselves.

    It was a minor blue wave.  In fact, more than minor.  Dems rec'd something to the effect of 9% more congressional votes than Repubs.  That's a wave.  What's not a wave is the result, and that's due to gerrymandering.  A swing from basically a break even congressional vote just two years ago to a 9% edge this year is actually momentous.  We just aren't feeling it because gerrymandering held down the Dem gains more than what we'd ordinarily see for such a momentous shift. 

    The forecasters said we'd see a likely edge between 7 and 9%, so they didn't exactly embarrass themselves.  Nate Silver had it at a likely gain of 37 Dem house seats.  Turns out it'll be closer to 33 or 32.  He said there'd be a most likely 1 seat gain for GOP in the Senate, and instead there were 2 or 3.  In what world is that making fools of themselves?
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    alohafri
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    • Post n°6

    Political gameday thread Empty Re: Political gameday thread

    Post by alohafri Thu Nov 08, 2018 7:15 am

    sharpy wrote:
    cream919 wrote:Results aren't terrible for democrats but nothing even close to a "blue wave". When are these fucking idiot political "experts" going to stop making these lame ass predictions and forecasts? They clearly don't know their ass from a hole in the ground and all they're doing is making fools of themselves.


    I think they will the day after the sports guys, equally as bad, stop making their predictions

    Are you saying the Sox aren't going to sign Harper and Machado?
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    SoxIlliniRob
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    • Post n°7

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    Post by SoxIlliniRob Tue Dec 04, 2018 8:47 am

    Final numbers appear to indicate that Silver's predictions were correct almost to exact precision in this midterm. He seemed to settle a 39 seat gain in the House. Actual is 40. He was predicting about a 1.5 seat loss in Senate. Ended up at 2. Predicted 9% vote advantage for Dems. Ends up at 8.something and still growing as absentee ballots are counted. Definitely one of his better years. Without Trump on the actual ballot, it appears there is less unpredictability in the ballot projection game.
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